The Trump Tantrum

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The Trump Tantrum

Since the election interest rates have jumped from 3.77% to 3.95% according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

“This week’s increase in mortgage rates, being dubbed the ‘Trump Tantrum,’ is the biggest one week increase since the ‘Taper Tantrum’ in June 2013,” said Bankrate’s chief financial analyst Greg McBride.

Economists say the anticipation of Trump’s pledged spending plans and tax cuts have investors anticipating some inflation and a dose of adrenaline to the economy which have caused a great deal of volatility in the market.

A little perspective is in order- rates today are still lower than the 3.97% recorded last year at this time. And, rates today are still essentially half of their long-term average.

Using a $400,000 home as an example with a 20% down payment, this interest rate increase translates to an additional $34 per month.

Many economists believe that we are now seeing the beginning of a long-term rise in interest rates.

source: Inman News

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Register for our annual Real Estate Market Forecast events! We will be in Denver January 18th and in Fort Collins January 19th starting at 5:30 pm.. Back by popular demand is our Chief Economist Matthew Gardner. Seating is limited.

Sign up at www.windermereforecast.com

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In our November issue of the Windermere Report, we will take a close look at what’s happening in Larimer and Weld County real estate.

If you’re not already receiving this monthly printed newsletter designed to keep you informed, educated and entertained on real estate, I will put you on our list!

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Welcome to Friday Fun Facts!

Thanks for checking out this week’s Friday Fun Facts!

These little nuggets of information are designed to inform, education and entertain you. I promise to give you some solid takeaways, based on real life with information that will keep you up-to-date.

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Posted on November 29, 2016 at 11:24 pm
Meagan Griesel | Category: Blog, Colorado Real Estate, Fort Collins Real Estate, Fun Facts, Loveland Real Estate, Northern Colorado Real Estate, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , ,

Interesting Takeaways

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Interesting Takeaways

The Zillow Group just completed an extensive survey of home buyers and sellers. Here are some interesting takeaways from the research:

  • Half of today’s home buyers are under the age of 36, and 47 percent are first-time buyers. Solo home buyers are in the minority; most buyers are shopping with a spouse or partner (73 percent).
  • Eighty-three percent of buyers are shopping for a single-family house. Their top considerations are affordability and being in a safe neighborhood.
  • Today’s sellers are most often members of Generation X (38 percent), and the majority (63 percent of all sellers) are listing a home for the first time.
  • Most sellers are trading their homes for one they see as an upgrade, seeking a median of 100 more square feet and a home that costs an average of 11 percent more.
  • Sellers’ top regret was that they didn’t take more time to prepare for a sale (30 percent). (By the way, Windermere’s Certified Listing is a proven 10-step process which prepares both the home and our clients for the sale. Let us know if you want to know more about it.)

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It’s time to Save the Date for our annual Real Estate Market Forecast events! We will be in Denver January 18th and in Fort Collins January 19th starting at 5:30 pm.. Back by popular demand is our Cheif Economist Matthew Gardner. Seating is limited. RSVP to colorado@windermere.com

********************************************************

In our November issue of the Windermere Report, we will take a close look at what’s happening in Larimer and Weld County real estate.

If you’re not already receiving this monthly printed newsletter designed to keep you informed, educated and entertained on real estate, I will put you on our list!

Simply Email me and I will get one in your hands right away. Meagang@windermere.com

Welcome to Friday Fun Facts!

Thanks for checking out this week’s Friday Fun Facts!

These little nuggets of information are designed to inform, education and entertain you. I promise to give you some solid takeaways, based on real life with information that will keep you up-to-date.

You can expect an entertaining short video or article once a week.. If you really like it, share it with your friends!

*If this isn’t your thing, no worries – just click the unsubscribe link below.*

image

Free Investor Resource

Learn the 5 essential steps to real estate investing in Northern Colorado. See how to create monthly residual income. Gain clarity and confidence in the Northern Colorado investment market. Avoid common investing pitfalls.

Click below for your free access to the one hour online lesson; plus enjoy additional resources.

unsubscribe

Posted on November 15, 2016 at 7:13 pm
Meagan Griesel | Category: Blog, Colorado Real Estate, Fort Collins Real Estate, Fun Facts, Loveland Real Estate, Northern Colorado Real Estate, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , ,

The Trump effect. How will it impact the US economy and housing?

 

By Matthew Gardner, Chief Economist, Windermere Real Estate

The American people have spoken and they have elected Donald J. Trump as the 45th president of the United States. Change was clearly demanded, and change is what we will have.

The election was a shock for many, especially on the West Coast where we have not been overly affected by the long-term loss in US manufacturing or stagnant wage growth of the past decade. But the votes are in and a new era is ahead of us. So, what does this mean for the housing market?

First and foremost I would say that we should all take a deep breath. In a similar fashion to the UK’s “Brexit”, there will be a “whiplash” effect, as was seen in overnight trading across the globe. However, at least in the US, equity markets have calmed as they start to take a closer look at what a Trump presidency will mean.

On a macro level, I would start by stating that political rhetoric and hyperbole do not necessarily translate into policy. That is the most important message that I want to get across. I consider it highly unlikely that many of the statements regarding trade protectionism will actually go into effect. It will be very important for President Trump to tone down his platform on renegotiating trade agreements and imposing tariffs on China. I also deem it highly unlikely that a 1,000-mile wall will actually get built.

It is crucial that some of the more inflammatory statements that President-Elect Trump has made be toned down or markets will react negatively. However, what is of greater concern to me is that neither candidate really approached questions regarding housing with any granularity. There was little-to-no-discussion regarding housing finance reform, so I will be watching this topic very closely over the coming months.

As far as the housing market is concerned, it is really too early to make any definitive comment. That said, Trump ran on a platform of deregulation and this could actually bode well for real estate. It might allow banks the freedom to lend more, which in turn, could further energize the market as more buyers may qualify for home loans.

Concerns over rising interest rates may also be overstated. As history tells us, during times of uncertainty we tend to put more money into bonds. If this holds true, then we may see a longer-than-expected period of below-average rates. Today’s uptick in bond yields is likely just temporary.

Proposed infrastructure spending could boost employment and wages, which again, would be a positive for housing markets. Furthermore, easing land use regulations has the potential to begin addressing the problem of housing affordability across many of our nation’s housing markets – specifically on the West Coast.

Economies do not like uncertainty. In the near-term we may see a temporary lull in the US economy, as well as the housing market, as we analyze what a Trump presidency really means. But at the present time, I do not see any substantive cause for panic in the housing sector.

We are a resilient nation, and as long as we continue to have checks-and balances, I have confidence that we will endure any period of uncertainty and come out stronger.

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In our November issue of the Windermere Report, we will take a close look at what’s happening in Larimer and Weld County real estate.

If you’re not already receiving this monthly printed newsletter designed to keep you informed, educated and entertained on real estate, I will put you on our list!

Simply Email me and I will get one in your hands right away. Meagang@windermere.com

 

Posted on November 15, 2016 at 6:49 pm
Meagan Griesel | Category: Blog, Colorado Real Estate, Fort Collins Real Estate, Loveland Real Estate, Northern Colorado Real Estate | Tagged , , , , ,