Colorado Real Estate Market Update

This analysis of the Metro Denver and Northern Colorado real estate markets is provided by Windermere Real Estate Chief Economist Matthew Gardner. We hope that this information may assist you with making better-informed real estate decisions. For further information about the housing market in your area, please don’t hesitate to contact us.

ECONOMIC OVERVIEW

Colorado added 45,300 non-agricultural jobs over the past 12 months, a growth rate of 1.7%. Although that is a respectable number, employment growth has been trending lower in 2017 as the state reaches full employment. Within the metropolitan market areas included in this report, there was annual employment growth in all areas other than Grand Junction, where employment was modestly lower. There was solid growth in Greeley and Fort Collins, where annual job growth was measured at 4% and 2.7%, respectively.

In November, the unemployment rate in the state was a remarkably low 2.9%, down from 3% a year ago. The lowest reported unemployment rates were seen in Fort Collins and Boulder, where only 2.5% of the labor force was actively looking for work. The highest unemployment rate (3.7%) was in Grand Junction.

The state economy has been performing very well, which is why the wage growth over the past year has averaged a very solid 3.3%. I expect the labor market to remain tight and this will lead to wages rising at above-average rates through 2018.

HOME SALES ACTIVITY

  • In the fourth quarter of 2017, there were 14,534 home sales—a drop of 2.0% compared to a year ago.
  • Sales again rose the fastest in Boulder County, which saw sales grow 17.9% versus the third quarter of 2016. There were also reasonable increases in Weld and Larimer Counties. Sales fell in all other counties contained within this report because there is such a shortage of available homes for sale.
  • As I discussed in my third quarter report, sales slowed due to the lack of homes for sale. The average number of homes for sale in the markets in this report is down by 8.2% from the fourth quarter of 2016.
  • The takeaway is that sales growth has moderated due to the lack of homes for sale.

HOME PRICES

  • With continued competition for the limited number of available homes, prices continued their upward trend. Average prices were up 9.8% year-over-year to a regional average of $431,403, which was slightly higher than the third quarter of 2017.
  • There was slower appreciation in home values in Boulder County, but the trend is still positive.
  • Appreciation was strongest in Weld County, which saw prices rise 14.3%. There were also solid gains in almost all other counties considered in this report.
  • The ongoing imbalance between supply and demand persists, which means we can expect home prices to continue appreciating at above-average rates for the foreseeable future.

 

DAYS ON MARKET

  • The average number of days it took to sell a home rose by two days when compared to the fourth quarter of 2016.
  • Homes in all but three counties contained in this report took less than a month to sell. Adams County continues to stand out, where it took an average of just 21 days for homes to sell.
  • It took an average of 29 days to sell a home last quarter. This is up nine days over the third quarter of 2017.
  • Housing demand remains strong in Colorado and this will continue with well-positioned, well-priced homes continuing to sell very quickly.

CONCLUSIONS

This speedometer reflects the state of the region’s housing market using housing inventory, price gains, home sales, interest rates, and larger economic factors.

For the fourth quarter of 2017, I have chosen to leave the needle where it was in the previous quarter. Listings remain scarce, but this did not deter buyers who are still active in the market. As much as I want to see more balance between supply and demand, I believe the market will remain supply-constrained as we move toward the spring, which will continue to heavily favor sellers.

Matthew Gardner is the Chief Economist for Windermere Real Estate, specializing in residential market analysis, commercial/industrial market analysis, financial analysis, and land use and regional economics. He is the former Principal of Gardner Economics, and has more than 30 years of professional experience both in the U.S. and U.K.

Posted on February 1, 2018 at 9:20 pm
Meagan Griesel | Category: Colorado Real Estate, Fort Collins Real Estate, Loveland Real Estate, Northern Colorado Real Estate, Windsor Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , , , , , ,

Love Loveland!

image

Love Loveland

It’s Valentine’s Day and Loveland Colorado is the place to be.

Loveland has certainly been a hot place to own real estate over the last 5 years. The median price was $192,500 in 2012 and today it is $315,000. That’s a $122,500 increase. We love it!

It also looks like it will be the place to be in the future. One of the many exciting developments on the horizon in Loveland is The Foundry.

The Foundry will revitalize Loveland’s historic downtown. Three empty city blocks will soon transform into a movie theater, apartments, offices, retailers and parking to support the increased traffic coming to the new epicenter of entertainment in downtown Loveland. Exciting stuff!

Loveland and Northern Colorado is one of the Front Range markets featured in our latest real estate report. It is written by our Cheif Economist Matthew Gardner and you can get it by clicking here: The Gardner Report


In our February issue of the Windermere Report, we will take a close look at what’s happening in Larimer and Weld County real estate.

If you’re not already receiving this monthly printed newsletter designed to keep you informed, educated and entertained on real estate, I will put you on our list!

Simply Email me and I will get one in your hands right away. Meagang@windermere.com

Posted on February 15, 2017 at 12:51 am
Meagan Griesel | Category: Blog, Colorado Real Estate, Loveland Real Estate, Northern Colorado Real Estate, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , ,

Prices Continue to Pop in 2017

Real Estate Prices in Larimer and Weld Counties Are Up Double-Digits

Fort Collins, Colo. (Feb. 7, 2017) – Continuing a trend that started four years ago, average residential real estate prices in January 2017 increased by double-digits compared to one year ago. Larimer County’s prices are 10.5% higher than last January and Weld County’s are up even more at 12.8%.

The average price of a property in Larimer County so far this year is $378,253 and in Weld County it is $310,948. Both Counties have seen their residential average prices go up by almost $100,000 in just three years.

“For three years now we have had the perfect storm to cause prices to increase at a rate that is double the long-term average. Northern Colorado is in the top-10 nationally for fastest growing communities, we have an incredibly healthy economy with high employment, interest rates that are roughly half of the long term average, and very few homes to pick from,” said Eric Thompson president of Windermere Real Estate in Colorado.

“The inventory of listings is especially low in the lower price points. For example, if someone wanted to buy a single-family home in Fort Collins under $300,000 they would have five listings to choose from today. Greeley has 33 homes at that price point,” Thompson said. “These dynamics create a unique opportunity for move up buyers to capture the appreciation in their home and leverage the low interest rates to buy the home of their dreams.”

Even though the number of homes available for sale across Larimer and Weld Counties may be down, Windermere Real Estate in Northern Colorado saw their January closed transactions increase 48% compared to last year. Their new written contracts are up even more at 110% compared to 2016.

About Windermere Colorado:

Since its inception in 1972, Windermere Real Estate has grown to be a network of 300 offices with more than 7,000 agents by focusing on three basic principles: hire the best people, give them the best tools and create thriving communities. Windermere’s growth has allowed them to expand into the Colorado market led by Eric Thompson, President of Windermere Colorado. For more information, visit www.windermerecolorado.com.

About Windermere Real Estate

Windermere Real Estate is ranked the largest regional real estate company in the Western U.S. serving communities in Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, Washington and Mexico. The Windermere family has a proud heritage of serving our neighbors via the Windermere Foundation, which funds services for low-income and homeless families. Since 1989, the Windermere Foundation has contributed more than 28 million dollars towards improving lives in the communities where we live and work. For more information, visit www.windermerecolorado.com.

Posted on February 7, 2017 at 11:02 pm
Meagan Griesel | Category: Blog, Colorado Real Estate, Fort Collins Real Estate, Loveland Real Estate, Northern Colorado Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , , , , ,

Our Crystal Ball

Last month Windermere’s Chief Economist Matthew Gardner joined us for our annual Market Forecast events in Colorado. We were pleased to host over 500 customers at two events in Denver and Fort Collins.

Here are some of the big takeaways that we shared:

  • Interest rates will increase to 4.6% by the end of the year
  • First-time buyers are back and will make up 47% of all buyers in 2017
  • Inventory will remain at record lows and will continue to drive up prices
  • Appreciation is expected to be between 9% and 7% accross our Front Range markets
  • Home builders will get creative in order to hit lower price points – we will see more “tiny homes” and more homes without basements

Click HERE to see Matthew Gardner’s infographic on the 2017 Forecast.

Posted on February 7, 2017 at 10:54 pm
Meagan Griesel | Category: Blog, Colorado Real Estate, Fort Collins Real Estate, Loveland Real Estate, Northern Colorado Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , , , , , ,

Limited Choices

imageLimited Choices

Pretend that customer walks into our office and tells us they are looking for a single family home in Fort Collins. We would tell them that there are 314 to choose from. But if they told us their price range is up to $300,000, their choices would be limited to just 10 homes.

Single family homes priced under $300,000 only represent 3.18% of the total inventory in Fort Collins. This is a big reason why buyers are opening up their search to communities that surround Fort Collins.

Here’s a snapshot of the major Northern Colorado markets:

  • Loveland: 176 Homes For Sale/15 Priced Under $300,000
  • Windsor: 151 Homes For Sale/6 Priced Under $300,000
  • Greeley: 98 Homes For Sale/33 Priced Under $300,000
  • Fort Collins: 314 Homes For Sale/10 Priced Under $300,000

What’s important to know is today’s market dynamics create an ideal scenario for the move up buyer to use the equity in their home, leverage the low interest rates, and buy the home of their dreams.


In our February issue of the Windermere Report, we will take a close look at what’s happening in Larimer and Weld County real estate.

If you’re not already receiving this monthly printed newsletter designed to keep you informed, educated and entertained on real estate, I will put you on our list!

Simply Email me and I will get one in your hands right away. Meagang@windermere.com


Welcome to Friday Fun Facts!

Thanks for checking out this week’s Friday Fun Facts!

These little nuggets of information are designed to inform, education and entertain you. I promise to give you some solid takeaways, based on real life with information that will keep you up-to-date.

You can expect an entertaining short video or article once a week.. If you really like it, share it with your friends!

*If this isn’t your thing, no worries – just click the unsubscribe link below.*

image

Free Investor Resource

Learn the 5 essential steps to real estate investing in Northern Colorado. See how to create monthly residual income. Gain clarity and confidence in the Northern Colorado investment market. Avoid common investing pitfalls.

Click below for your free access to the one hour online lesson; plus enjoy additional resources.

Posted on February 7, 2017 at 10:09 pm
Meagan Griesel | Category: Blog, Colorado Real Estate, Fort Collins Real Estate, Fun Facts, Loveland Real Estate, Northern Colorado Real Estate, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , ,

Upping the Pace

image

Upping the Pace

Nationally, the real estate market is on pace for 5.6 million home sales. That is the highest pace we’ve seen since 2007.

A little perspective – 5 years ago the pace was roughly 4.5 million sales and ten years ago it was roughly 6 million sales.

The highest it has ever been is the Spring of 2005 when it topped 7 million sales.

********************************************************

Register for our annual Real Estate Market Forecast events! We will be in Denver January 18th and in Fort Collins January 19th starting at 5:30 pm.. Back by popular demand is our Cheif Economist Matthew Gardner. Seating is limited.

Sign up at www.windermereforecast.com

********************************************************

In our November issue of the Windermere Report, we will take a close look at what’s happening in Larimer and Weld County real estate.

If you’re not already receiving this monthly printed newsletter designed to keep you informed, educated and entertained on real estate, I will put you on our list!

Simply Email me and I will get one in your hands right away. Meagang@windermere.com

Welcome to Friday Fun Facts!

Thanks for checking out this week’s Friday Fun Facts!

These little nuggets of information are designed to inform, education and entertain you. I promise to give you some solid takeaways, based on real life with information that will keep you up-to-date.

You can expect an entertaining short video or article once a week.. If you really like it, share it with your friends!

*If this isn’t your thing, no worries – just click the unsubscribe link below.*

 

 

 

 

image

Free Investor Resource

Learn the 5 essential steps to real estate investing in Northern Colorado. See how to create monthly residual income. Gain clarity and confidence in the Northern Colorado investment market. Avoid common investing pitfalls.

Click below for your free access to the one hour online lesson; plus enjoy additional resources.

unsubscribe

Posted on November 29, 2016 at 11:28 pm
Meagan Griesel | Category: Blog, Colorado Real Estate, Fort Collins Real Estate, Fun Facts, Loveland Real Estate, Northern Colorado Real Estate, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , ,

The Trump Tantrum

image

The Trump Tantrum

Since the election interest rates have jumped from 3.77% to 3.95% according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

“This week’s increase in mortgage rates, being dubbed the ‘Trump Tantrum,’ is the biggest one week increase since the ‘Taper Tantrum’ in June 2013,” said Bankrate’s chief financial analyst Greg McBride.

Economists say the anticipation of Trump’s pledged spending plans and tax cuts have investors anticipating some inflation and a dose of adrenaline to the economy which have caused a great deal of volatility in the market.

A little perspective is in order- rates today are still lower than the 3.97% recorded last year at this time. And, rates today are still essentially half of their long-term average.

Using a $400,000 home as an example with a 20% down payment, this interest rate increase translates to an additional $34 per month.

Many economists believe that we are now seeing the beginning of a long-term rise in interest rates.

source: Inman News

********************************************************

Register for our annual Real Estate Market Forecast events! We will be in Denver January 18th and in Fort Collins January 19th starting at 5:30 pm.. Back by popular demand is our Chief Economist Matthew Gardner. Seating is limited.

Sign up at www.windermereforecast.com

********************************************************

In our November issue of the Windermere Report, we will take a close look at what’s happening in Larimer and Weld County real estate.

If you’re not already receiving this monthly printed newsletter designed to keep you informed, educated and entertained on real estate, I will put you on our list!

Simply Email me and I will get one in your hands right away. Meagang@windermere.com

Welcome to Friday Fun Facts!

Thanks for checking out this week’s Friday Fun Facts!

These little nuggets of information are designed to inform, education and entertain you. I promise to give you some solid takeaways, based on real life with information that will keep you up-to-date.

You can expect an entertaining short video or article once a week. If you really like it, share it with your friends!

*If this isn’t your thing, no worries – just click the unsubscribe link below.*

image

Free Investor Resource

Learn the 5 essential steps to real estate investing in Northern Colorado. See how to create monthly residual income. Gain clarity and confidence in the Northern Colorado investment market. Avoid common investing pitfalls.

Click below for your free access to the one hour online lesson; plus enjoy additional resources.

unsubscribe

Posted on November 29, 2016 at 11:24 pm
Meagan Griesel | Category: Blog, Colorado Real Estate, Fort Collins Real Estate, Fun Facts, Loveland Real Estate, Northern Colorado Real Estate, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , ,

Interesting Takeaways

image

Interesting Takeaways

The Zillow Group just completed an extensive survey of home buyers and sellers. Here are some interesting takeaways from the research:

  • Half of today’s home buyers are under the age of 36, and 47 percent are first-time buyers. Solo home buyers are in the minority; most buyers are shopping with a spouse or partner (73 percent).
  • Eighty-three percent of buyers are shopping for a single-family house. Their top considerations are affordability and being in a safe neighborhood.
  • Today’s sellers are most often members of Generation X (38 percent), and the majority (63 percent of all sellers) are listing a home for the first time.
  • Most sellers are trading their homes for one they see as an upgrade, seeking a median of 100 more square feet and a home that costs an average of 11 percent more.
  • Sellers’ top regret was that they didn’t take more time to prepare for a sale (30 percent). (By the way, Windermere’s Certified Listing is a proven 10-step process which prepares both the home and our clients for the sale. Let us know if you want to know more about it.)

********************************************************

It’s time to Save the Date for our annual Real Estate Market Forecast events! We will be in Denver January 18th and in Fort Collins January 19th starting at 5:30 pm.. Back by popular demand is our Cheif Economist Matthew Gardner. Seating is limited. RSVP to colorado@windermere.com

********************************************************

In our November issue of the Windermere Report, we will take a close look at what’s happening in Larimer and Weld County real estate.

If you’re not already receiving this monthly printed newsletter designed to keep you informed, educated and entertained on real estate, I will put you on our list!

Simply Email me and I will get one in your hands right away. Meagang@windermere.com

Welcome to Friday Fun Facts!

Thanks for checking out this week’s Friday Fun Facts!

These little nuggets of information are designed to inform, education and entertain you. I promise to give you some solid takeaways, based on real life with information that will keep you up-to-date.

You can expect an entertaining short video or article once a week.. If you really like it, share it with your friends!

*If this isn’t your thing, no worries – just click the unsubscribe link below.*

image

Free Investor Resource

Learn the 5 essential steps to real estate investing in Northern Colorado. See how to create monthly residual income. Gain clarity and confidence in the Northern Colorado investment market. Avoid common investing pitfalls.

Click below for your free access to the one hour online lesson; plus enjoy additional resources.

unsubscribe

Posted on November 15, 2016 at 7:13 pm
Meagan Griesel | Category: Blog, Colorado Real Estate, Fort Collins Real Estate, Fun Facts, Loveland Real Estate, Northern Colorado Real Estate, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , ,

Door Opens for Buyers

After a very active (to say the least) spring and summer, the door has now opened for buyers in our market.

Buyers who were frustrated during the first half of the year with low inventory and bidding wars now realize a better environment. It's time to step off the sidelines and take a fresh look at what the market has to offer.

The first piece of good news is that rates have dropped to near all-time lows. Rates today are 0.6% lower than they were on January 1st. What this means on a $400,000 home with a conventional loan is a monthly savings of $110!

The second piece of good news is that inventory levels are coming up. There are more homes on the market to pick from and lower demand because of seasonal slowing. Months of inventory in Larimer County markets have bounced up 20% to 33%.

Now is a great time for buyers to step through the door that is opening in the market!

Contact me to get the latest insights on our market. Our quarterly market report called "The Scoopwill help you see where the opportunities are in Northern Colorado. Contact us and we will send you a copy right away! 

Posted on August 5, 2016 at 6:34 pm
Meagan Griesel | Category: Fort Collins Real Estate, Fun Facts, Loveland Real Estate, Northern Colorado Real Estate | Tagged , ,